To celebrate Barry Bonds’ breaking of Babe Ruth’s home run record, I’ve slapped together a little graph to compare Barry’s homers with the times he’s been at bat, to the times he’s been intentionally walked. How these factors are related and how they trend together is interesting to see.
The fewer times he’s appeared at the plate the fewer times he’s hit homers. This is incredibly obvious, but I just wanted to see.
I also put in the number of times he’s been intentionally walked because I wanted to see whether it was affecting the number of homers he hits. This seemed to vary from year to year and didn’t show a clear causal relationship, though I would guess that it had its effects regardless.
Now, how did the steroid investigation affect his home run production? Compare with the Balco timeline on USAToday. However, keep in mind the other factors that contribute to fewer homers.
I was planning on posting an article with statistics on illegal immigration and its impact on the U.S. economy, but searching around I found that the only substantive data was derived from polls of peoples’ feelings and attitudes about illegal immigration, such as this one poll conducted in 2004 by NPR and the Kennedy School at Harvard.
This is probably obvious, but there cannot be substative data because of the nature of the issue. Because illegal immigrants are forced to hide or obscure themselves, it makes sense that we aren’t able gather much reliable data. So, how much an average illegal immigrant makes, where they spend that money, what exact jobs they are working in, etc. is impossible to tease out.
However, there is some interesting corollary data, such as this graph from the New York Times from April 15, 2006 showing that illegal immigration probably does not affect a states’ median wage for less educated workers:
Also, it is interesting to note that for this particular issue, there seems to be an abundance of completely fabricated statistics.
This opinion piece in the
LA Times addresses point for point some of the false or misleading statistics that are bandied about.
Sudan has a long history of conflict. In fact, the current conflict is one more in a slew of conflicts that has gone on throughout Africa since the independence and gradual withdrawal of European colonial powers in the past century. The current conflict in Sudan dates from February 2003, and comes at the heels of Sudan’s older civil war (also Africa’s longest), just resolved in January 2005, that had been going on since 1983. That older conflict started with the dissolution of three southern Sudan states and the introduction of Sharia law. The division between northern and southern Sudan was a direct result of British imperial rule. For a more in depth history of the region, please visit the Wikipedia page on Sudan.
The current conflict is mainly between Darfur rebels, the Sudanese government, and the government-sponsored Janjaweed—Arab militias that France and the U.S. recruited to fight Libya’s Moammar Khaddafi. After Khaddafi was deposed, the Janjaweed were hosted in Sudan.
Though it might appear that the conflict is between Arabs and black Africans, the truth is probably more complex than a simple ethnic conflict. According to the United Nations Mission in Sudan, the two rebel groups—Sudan Liberation Army and Justice and Equality Movement—claim there have been years of political, economic and social marginalization in the region. The long-running civil war between northern and southern Sudan have contributed to decades of instability. Added to this, most surrounding nations are dealing with conflicts of their own, and each countries’ conflict is contributing to their neighbors’ problems. Right now, among neighboring countries, there are significant conflicts or crises occurring in Chad, Democratic Republic of Congo, Uganda, Ethiopia, and Eritrea.
Why is Osama bin Laden interested?
Osama bin Laden recently released an audio statement encouraging followers to go to Sudan to fight the U.N. peacekeeping presence. Why? According to the International Crisis Group, in the 1990s, the government of Sudan gave safe harbor to bin Laden and other Islamic fundamentalist groups, which led to Sudan’s increasing global isolation. After the bombings of the embassies in Nairobi and Dar-es-Salaam in Kenya, the U.S. bombed Sudan in retaliation. Osama bin Laden supports the Sudanese government not only because it helped him, but also because it is an oil-producing Islamic country under sharia law.
From the United Nations Mission in Sudan, some fast facts:
- Capital: Khartoum
- Natural Resources: petroleum; small reserves of iron ore, copper, chromium ore, zinc, tungsten, mica, silver, gold, hydropower
- Population: 40,187,486 (July 2005 estimate)
- Major Languages: Arabic; English, tribal languages
- Ethnic Groups: African 52%, Arab 39%, Beja 6%, foreigners 2%, other 1%
- Religions: Sunni Muslim 70% (mostly in the north), indigenous beliefs 25%, Christian 5% (mostly in the south and Khartoum)
- Industries: oil, cotton ginning, textiles, cement, edible oils, sugar, soap distilling, shoes, petroleum refining, pharmaceuticals, armaments, automobile/light truck assembly
- Main exports: Oil, cotton, sesame, livestock and hides, gum
Some fast stats on the current conflict:
- Estimated death toll: this varies from source to source. All agree that there are many more than the number they have published. Darfurgenocide.org reports 400,000. International Crisis Group reports 180,000. Eric Reeves reports 450,000.
- Estimated internally displaced persons: 6.1 million. (Source: U.S. Agency for International Development.)
- Estimated refugees to surrounding countries: 578,000. (Source: U.S. Agency for International Development.)
All parties in the current conflict have been accused of human rights violations, ranging from looting to raping of civilians to mass killing.
According to Amnesty International, the Sudanese government has given janjaweed militias free-rein in the Darfur region to attack and destroy non-Arab villages and property, kill, rape and abduct people, and loot livestock. Dissenters have been “disappeared.”
For more information on the Sudan conflict, check out packages in the NY Times and The Guardian UK and from Doctors Without Borders. The World Health Organization has mortality projections for the Darfur region, but they were last updated in 2004. Eric Reeves, a Smith College professor, has posted his research and mortality estimates on his Sudan Research site.
Sudan and Darfur in Context
(Source: USAID, 4-21-2006 Sudan Situation Report #14; Point by Point Publishing.)
